Monday, December 05, 2005

Fight Fight
Talk Talk

Erik gives us a little lesson in Chinese Taqiyya:

In the years right after World War II, when the United States was striving to negotiate a deal between the Nationalist government of China and the insurrection, the Communist leader Mao Zedong formulated the strategy known as "fight fight talk talk"

writes Richard Bernstein in The New York Times, as he describes Iran's negotiating strategy today and, effectively, Saddam's three years ago and that of tyrants always.

Indeed, their being by definition not the negotiating type, the Times inadvertently puts the lie to all the hoopla about having negotiations bring about a workable, everbody-wins compromise in the Iraqi crisis.

Bernstein adds that, with regards to Mao,

It was a brilliant success.The idea was that even as you seek opportunities to make gains on the battlefield, to expand your territory and gain in strength, you keep on negotiating even though you have no interest in a compromise solution and intend to win complete victory. The talk-talk part of the strategy gives mediators the sense that they are doing something useful, while, by holding theoretically to the possibility of a negotiated solution, you deter great-power military intervention in support of your adversary.

Iran seems to be following a similar strategy, and it has been working for the simple reason that the European/American plan provides no way effectively to counter it.

Yeah, because our Western politicians aren't businessmen. For the most part, they are anti-Capitalists, so they don't recognize the reality of the marketplace when it hits them in the face.

As a businessman, I recognize this strategy, instantly. Whenever the pace of working towards a deal starts to slow, a good businessman knows that his client is seeking another deal.

In the case of Iran, they are seeking to buy more technology from Russia and China, with the endgoal being the self-sufficiency of becoming a nuclear nation. Yes, that's right. Primitive Islamofascists, armed to the teeth, with nuclear weapons.

The Brave New World.